Public Track Record
We publish the call before the event, with a written test and a fixed judgement date.
And it cannot be edited after publication — the database refuses.
Weekly4 calls
Next verdict 25 Aug 2026Bound to a series and a numeric band, judged automatically on the live price — no human verdict at this horizon.
| Ref | Issued | Call and test | Series | Judged on | Result and margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC-245708 | 18 Aug 2026 | We forecast WTI crude (CM_WTIOIL) to settle above 86.00 $/bbl on the judgment date 2026-08-25, driven by a persistent Hormuz risk premium. The forecast is verified if the CM_WTIOIL close on 2026-08-25 is above 86.00 $/bbl; it fails if the close is at or below 86.00. | CM_WTIOILthrough 18 Aug 2026 | 25 Aug 2026 in 7d | 85.16 not met · by 0.84 |
Showing 1 of 4. The rest — each with its test, its date and its verdict when the horizon closes — is for subscribers. | |||||
Monthlynot started
Bound to a series where possible. What cannot be measured automatically stays under observation until maturity.
No calls at this horizon yet.
Quarterlyissued by the model
We do not wait for a quarter to begin. A long call is issued when the depth is there: long price history, modelable series, a tested index, and demonstrated skill above the baseline.
Conditions right now
The conditions are not met, so no quarterly call is issued. A model that cannot beat "yesterday’s price" is not allowed to forecast a quarter out.